债券市场日评(2023/11/13)
为维护银行体系流动性合理充裕,人民银行当日以利率招标方式开展了1130亿元7天期逆回购操作,中标利率为1.80%。由于今日有180亿元逆回购到期,今日公开市场实现净投放950亿元。
87D 239968 2.315 ,
302D(休2) 230211 2.42,
9.84Y(休1) 230215 2.7075-2.711
2年期国债期货(TS)主力合约涨0.04%,5年期国债期货(TF)主力合约涨0.05%,10年期国债期货(T)主力合约涨0.02%,30年期国债期货(TL)主力合约涨0.23%。(早盘收盘)
今日市场短融交投情绪一般,成交主要集中在AAA和AA+的短融产品,部分成交如下:
23首钢SCP003(70D,AAA)在2.60%成交,低于中债估值1.43bp;
23津城建SCP023(7D,AAA)在2.55%成交,低于中债估值4.85bp;
23中咨集团SCP002(科创票据)(36D,AA+)在2.50%成交,低于中债估值2.89bp;
23中交建SCP005(2D,AAA)在2.28%成交,高于中债估值10.00bp;
23远东租赁SCP011(130D,AAA)在3.12%成交,低于中债估值2.76bp;
23津城建CP020(339D,AAA)在3.05%成交,低于中债估值2.39bp;
总体而言,今日短融成交收益率较上个交易日有所回落。
本日中票交投情绪较为清淡,市场成交主要集中在 1Y以内以及1-3Y左右的券种,部分活跃成交如下:
1Y以内:
21京能源MTN001 (AAA, 9D+N),成交在2.33%,低于中债估值5.69bp;
22华阳新材MTN001 (AAA, 59D),成交在2.63%,低于中债估值0.6bp;
21华发集团MTN002 (AAA, 61D+N),成交在2.68%,低于中债估值5.53bp;
21星城发展MTN001 (AA+, 134D+2Y),成交在2.72%,低于中债估值3.6bp;
21淮南矿MTN004 (AAA, 137D),成交在2.74%,低于中债估值2.61bp;
19渝水投MTN001 (AAA, 312D),成交在2.76%,低于中债估值0.33bp;
21蜀道投资MTN004(乡村振兴) (AAA, 365D+N),成交在2.89%,低于中债估值5.47bp;
1-3Y:
22中节能MTN001 (AAA, 1.25Y),成交在2.8%,低于中债估值1.89bp;
22绍兴国资MTN001 (AA+, 1.37Y+2Y),成交在2.93%,低于中债估值1.44bp;
22中电国际MTN001 (AAA, 1.58Y),成交在2.87%,低于中债估值0.05bp;
22光大控股MTN001 (AAA, 1.59Y),成交在2.92%,低于中债估值0.17bp;
22大唐发电MTN006 (AAA, 1.72Y+N),成交在3.03%,低于中债估值0.64bp;
23上饶城投MTN004 (AA+, 1.76Y),成交在3.26%,低于中债估值10.56bp;
21济南轨交MTN001 (AAA, 2.46Y),成交在3.05%,低于中债估值2.69bp;
总体而言,今日中期票据市场整体收益率下行。
今日公司债&企业债交投情绪较为活跃,市场成交主要集中在2Y内AAA类券种,部分成交如下:
20DTFDY1(AAA,13D+N(休1))成交在2.27%,偏离估值-3.61bp;
20沪地02(AAA,17D)成交在2.42%,偏离估值-0.48bp;
18陕集02(AAA,23D)成交在2.49%,偏离估值5.61bp;
18鲁西01(AAA,30D)成交在2.47%,偏离估值0.79bp;
20兴城Y5(AAA,47D+N(休3))成交数笔在2.56%,偏离估值-0.76bp;
21中材01(AAA,130D)成交在2.69%,偏离估值-3.14bp;
21航控02(AAA,159D(休2))成交在2.8%,偏离估值5.82bp;
21中航Y2(AAA,167D+N(休1))成交数笔在2.8%,偏离估值-2.51bp;
19余杭03(AAA,1.08Y)成交在2.84%,偏离估值-4.58bp;
21铁建Y7(AAA,1.13Y+N)成交在2.85%,偏离估值-4.41bp;
G20广铁1(AAA,1.16Y)成交在2.75%,偏离估值0bp;
20国君Y1(AAA,1.33Y+N)成交在2.91%,偏离估值-4.6bp;
23中证G4(AAA,1.33Y)成交数笔在2.74%,偏离估值-0.21bp;
建工KY03(AAA,1.42Y+N)成交在3%,偏离估值-1.41bp;
22诚通K1(AAA,1.43Y(休1))成交在2.87%,偏离估值-0.75bp;
G22雅砻1(AAA,1.43Y(休1))成交在2.78%,偏离估值-2.55bp;
20豫铁01(AAA,1.44Y+2Y)成交在2.98%,偏离估值-4.74bp;
22安信C1(AAA,1.6Y)成交在2.93%,偏离估值-0.49bp;
21扬州02(AAA,2.76Y)成交在3.03%,偏离估值-3.91bp;
23华电K1(AAA,2.93Y)成交数笔在2.88%,偏离估值2.28bp;
23皖交02(AAA,4.59Y)成交数笔在3%,偏离估值-0.51bp;
23中证26(AAA,4.98Y)成交在3.07%,偏离估值-0.2bp;
19川发08(AAA,6.06Y)成交在3.22%,偏离估值-2.52bp。
整体而言,今日公司债&企业债平均成交收益率较上一个交易日有所下降。
今日商金债市场情绪较为一般,市场主要关注3Y-5Y的银行永续和二级债,基金和券商为市场主力交投方。部分热门成交展示如下:
1Y内:
19中国银行永续债01(AAA,77D+N)成交在2.71%,高于估值1bp;
21华夏银行01(AAA,126D)成交在2.49%,低于估值0.26bp;
19农业银行二级02(AAA,127D+5Y)成交在2.69%,低于估值2bp;
19华夏银行永续债(AAA,226D+N)成交在2.81%,低于估值0.65bp;
21招商银行小微债03(AAA,287D)成交在2.58%,高于估值0.4bp。
1Y-3Y:
19进出11(AAA,1.1Y+5Y)成交在2.735%,低于估值0.5bp;
20农业银行永续债01(AAA,1.49Y+N)成交在2.905%,低于估值1.15bp;
21中信银行永续债(AAA,2.45Y+N)成交在3.09%,低于估值2.85bp;
23中行债01(AAA,2.95Y)成交在净价100;
23光大银行债03(AAA,2.99Y)成交在2.81%,低于估值1.75bp。
3Y-5Y:
21兴业银行二级02(AAA,3.03Y+5Y)成交在3.135%,低于估值2bp;
22农行二级资本债02A(AAA,3.86Y+5Y)成交在3.185%,低于估值1.22bp;
22中行二级资本债02A(AAA,3.95Y+5Y)成交在3.19%,低于估值2bp;
23天津银行二级资本债01(AAA,4.41Y+5Y)成交在4.3%,低于估值0.69bp;
23建行二级资本债02A(AAA,4.95Y+5Y)成交在3.305%,低于估值3.57bp;
23建行二级资本债02A(AAA,4.95Y+5Y)成交在3.31%,低于估值3.07bp;
23农行二级资本债03A(AAA,4.96Y+5Y)成交在3.32%,低于估值2.25bp;
23农行二级资本债03A(AAA,4.96Y+5Y)成交在3.29%,低于估值5.25bp。
总体来看,今日商金债整体成交收益率较前日下行。