债券市场日评(2023/11/30)
11月30日,中国人民银行发布公告,为维护月末流动性平稳,央行今日进行6630亿元7天期逆回购操作,中标利率为1.8%,与此前持平。因今日有5190亿元7天期逆回购到期,公开市场实现净投放1440亿元。
88D 239975 2.385-2.39;
330D 230024 2.31-2.33;
1.54Y(休1) 230013 2.43;
1.82Y 230020 2.4125;
1.9Y 200013 2.31-2.3175;
2.28Y 210002 2.34-2.35;
2.71Y(休2) 230017 2.4625-2.47;
2.96Y(休1) 230025 2.46-2.47;
4.82Y 230021 2.5725;
4.88Y(休1) 230022 2.555-2.57;
5.32Y(休2) 220006 2.5975-2.60;
6.57Y 230014 2.66;
6.8Y(休1) 230019 2.665-2.676;
8.71Y(休1) 220017 2.695;
9.49Y 230012 2.6825-2.6875;
9.74Y 230018 2.675-2.688;
9.99Y 230026 2.665-2.675;
25.64Y 190010 3.025-3.027;
27.89Y 210014 3.023-3.025;
28.37Y 220008 3.0175-3.02;
28.9Y 220024 3.0125-3.0175;
29.38Y 230009 2.9675-2.98;
29.87Y 230023 2.935-2.945。
215D 190208 2.51;
265D 170208 2.525;
282D 230211 2.53;
1.88Y 230218 2.56;
4.12Y 230203 2.6125-2.625;
4.49Y 230208 2.6075-2.625;
4.6Y 180210 2.6825-2.695;
5.11Y 190205 2.72;
5.81Y 190215 2.7625;
7.52Y(休2) 210210 2.865;
8.13Y(休2) 220205 2.8675-2.875;
8.63Y(休1) 220215 2.8675;
8.9Y(休1) 220220 2.865-2.872;
9.27Y(休1) 230205 2.8625-2.865;
9.48Y(休1) 230210 2.785-2.80;
9.78Y(休1) 230215 2.76-2.765;
17.94Y 210220 3.00
11月30日,国债期货收盘涨跌不一,30年期国债期货主力合约收涨0.1%,10年期国债期货主力合约持平,5年期国债期货主力合约基本持平,2年期国债期货主力合约跌0.01%。
今日短融交投主要集中在AAA及AA+短融产品。
我司部分成交如下:
23天津轨交SCP005(4D,AAA)在2.55%成交,低于中债估值12.1bp;
23招商局港SCP003(68D,AAA)在2.78%成交,低于中债估值0.85bp;
23杭金投SCP009(118D,AAA)在2.75%成交,低于中债估值5.53bp;
总体而言,今日短融成交收益率震荡下行。
本日中票交投情绪较为活跃,市场成交主要集中在1Y以内以及1-3Y左右的券种,部分活跃成交如下:
1Y以内:
19宜春城投MTN001 (AA, 49D),成交在3.05%,高于中债估值6.43bp;
21兖矿MTN002 (AAA, 103D),成交在2.78%,低于中债估值2.21bp;
21广州国资MTN001 (AAA, 103D),成交在2.75%,低于中债估值0.17bp;
21湘高速MTN003 (AAA, 148D+2Y),成交在2.83%,高于中债估值0.38bp;
21江西交投MTN003 (AAA, 193D+N),成交在2.8%,低于中债估值2.48bp;
21武进经发MTN002 (AA+, 269D),成交在2.95%,低于中债估值5.26bp;
22湘高速MTN008 (AAA, 281D+2Y),成交在2.85%,低于中债估值2.48bp;
21南京城投MTN001 (AAA, 327D),成交在2.81%,低于中债估值0.3bp;
21甬城投MTN001 (AAA, 340D),成交在2.8%,低于中债估值2.93bp;
1-3Y:
23中电建设MTN001 (AAA, 1.27Y+N),成交在2.92%,低于中债估值2.52bp;
23中电投MTN002(能源保供特别债) (AAA, 1.28Y+N),成交在2.9%,低于中债估值1.18bp;
23中电投MTN015(能源保供特别债) (AAA, 1.44Y+N),成交在2.95%,低于中债估值0.78bp;
22大唐发电MTN002 (AAA, 1.46Y+N),成交在2.99%,低于中债估值0.04bp;
23京住总集MTN001 (AAA, 1.79Y+N),成交在3.4%,低于中债估值5.19bp;
23武汉车都MTN002 (AA+, 2.29Y),成交在3.1%,低于中债估值3.08bp;
23嘉兴科技MTN001 (AA+, 2.64Y),成交在3.24%,低于中债估值2.74bp;
3Y以上:
22闽投MTN002 (AAA, 3.32Y),成交在2.97%,高于中债估值1.2bp;
22国新控股MTN003(能源保供特别债) (AAA, 3.83Y),成交在3.07%,低于中债估值0.33bp;
总体而言,今日中期票据市场整体收益率下行。
今日公司债&企业债交投情绪较为普通,市场成交主要集中在2Y内AAA类券种,部分成交如下:
21华福G1(AAA,225D)成交数笔在2.74%,偏离估值-0.67bp;
19信投Y1(AAA,271D+N)成交在2.92%,偏离估值0.34bp;
23滨海01(AAA,286D+1Y)成交在3.22%,偏离估值-4.68bp;
21昆城F1(AAA,292D+2Y)成交在2.93%,偏离估值-0.65bp;
21国信12(AAA,359D(休2))成交在2.75%,偏离估值-2.42bp;
21安信04(AAA,1.02Y)成交在2.87%,偏离估值-0.03bp;
22环球01(AAA,1.12Y+2Y)成交在3.06%,偏离估值-1.27bp;
22海通04(AAA,1.65Y(休2))成交在2.82%,偏离估值-1.83bp;
16浙交02(AAA,2.29Y)成交在2.94%,偏离估值4.03bp;
23绿发02(AAA,2.52Y+2Y)成交在3.55%,偏离估值-2.51bp;
23海通16(AAA,2.98Y)成交数笔在2.93%,偏离估值0.45bp。
整体而言,今日公司债&企业债平均成交收益率较上一个交易日有所下行。
今日商金债市场情绪较为活跃,市场主要关注1Y-3Y的银行永续和二级债,基金和券商为市场主力交投方。部分热门成交展示如下:
1Y内:
19中国银行永续债01(AAA,60D+N)成交在2.87%,低于估值5bp;
19广发银行永续债(AAA,302D+N)成交在2.91%,低于估值1.92bp。
1Y-3Y:
19平安银行永续债01(AAA,1.07Y+N)成交在2.99%,低于估值2.97bp;
20中国银行永续债01(AAA,1.42Y+N)成交在2.95%,低于估值3.02bp;
20招商银行永续债01(AAA,1.61Y+N)成交在3%,低于估值2.63bp;
20浦发银行二级03(AAA,1.8Y+5Y)成交在2.98%,低于估值3.38bp;
20工商银行二级02(AAA,1.96Y+5Y)成交在2.98%,低于估值2.01bp;
20工商银行二级02(AAA,1.96Y+5Y)成交在2.97%,低于估值3.01bp;
20中国银行永续债02(AAA,1.96Y+N)成交在3.05%,低于估值2.38bp;
22厦门国际银行(AAA,2.01Y)成交在2.84%,低于估值2.49bp;
23华夏银行债01(AAA,2.33Y)成交在2.82%,低于估值1.46bp;
23中信银行01(AAA,2.37Y)成交在2.83%,低于估值0.68bp;
21中信银行永续债(AAA,2.4Y+N)成交在3.14%,低于估值2.56bp;
21中信银行永续债(AAA,2.4Y+N)成交在3.135%,低于估值3.06bp;
21工商银行永续债01(AAA,2.52Y+N)成交在3.12%,低于估值2.29bp;
23厦门国际银行01(AAA,2.98Y)成交在2.92%,低于估值0.02bp。
3Y-5Y:
22农业银行永续债01(AAA,3.23Y+N)成交在3.2%,低于估值2.83bp;
22建行永续债01(AAA,3.75Y+N)成交在3.265%,低于估值2.34bp;
23中行二级资本债03A(AAA,4.9Y+5Y)成交在3.3%,低于估值1.57bp;
23中行二级资本债03A(AAA,4.9Y+5Y)成交在3.295%,低于估值2.07bp;
23国开行二级资本债01A(AAA,4.9Y+5Y)成交在3.15%,低于估值1bp;
23建行二级资本债02A(AAA,4.9Y+5Y)成交在3.3%,低于估值1.62bp;
23建行二级资本债02A(AAA,4.9Y+5Y)成交在3.29%,低于估值2.62bp;
23建行二级资本债02A(AAA,4.9Y+5Y)成交在3.31%,低于估值0.62bp;
23农行二级资本债03A(AAA,4.92Y+5Y)成交在3.29%,低于估值2.71bp;
23建行二级资本债03A(AAA,4.96Y+5Y)成交在净价100;
23交行二级资本债01A(AAA,4.96Y+5Y)成交在3.29%,低于估值3bp;
23湖北银行永续债01(AAA,4.97Y+N)成交在3.99%,低于估值9.25bp。
总体来看,今日商金债整体成交收益率较前日下行。