央行公告称,为维护银行体系流动性合理充裕,7月5日以利率招标方式开展了20亿元逆回购操作,中标利率1.8%。今日有500亿元逆回购到期。
2.86Y 240010.IB 1.7925-1.795;
4.28Y 230022.IB 1.9725-1.9775;
6.72Y 240006.IB 2.1025-2.12;
7.62Y 220003.IB 2.1775-2.18;
7.86Y 220010.IB 2.17-2.175;
8.16Y 220019.IB 2.205-2.215;
8.89Y 230012.IB 2.24-2.25;
9.14Y 230018.IB 2.26-2.277;
9.39Y 230026.IB 2.269-2.277;
9.64Y 240004.IB 2.2615-2.2825;
9.89Y 240011.IB 2.255-2.27;
19.89Y 2400002.IB 2.4375-2.445;
26.19Y 200012.IB 2.5145-2.517;
26.77Y 210005.IB 2.5145-2.523;
27.29Y 210014.IB 2.52-2.5235;
27.78Y 220008.IB 2.5075-2.51;
28.31Y 220024.IB 2.515-2.522;
28.78Y 230009.IB 2.50-2.51;
29.28Y 230023.IB 2.47-2.492;
29.87Y 2400001.IB 2.4825-2.51;
2.18Y 210208.IB 1.87-1.895;
4.63Y 240203.IB 2.025-2.04;
8.67Y 230205.IB 2.32-2.325;
8.88Y 230210.IB 2.33-2.345;
9.51Y 240205.IB 2.3375-2.36;
9.84Y 240210.IB 2.329-2.355;
7月5日国债期货收盘集体收跌,30年期主力合约跌0.31%,10年期主力合约跌0.14%,5年期主力合约跌0.07%,2年期主力合约跌0.02%。
今日市场短融交投情绪平淡,成交主要集中在AAA和AA+的短融产品。
24苏交通SCP006(7D,AAA)在1.85%成交,低于中债估值6.21bp;
24华能江苏SCP005(科创票据)(13D,AAA)在1.94%成交,高于中债估值2.00bp;
24粤海SCP001(17D,AAA)在1.90%成交,高于中债估值3.64bp;
24海发宝诚SCP001(52D,AAA)在2.01%成交,高于中债估值3.22bp;
24苏农垦SCP005(69D,AAA)在1.95%成交,低于中债估值1.38bp;
24溧阳城建CP001(87D,AA+)在2.00%成交,低于中债估值3.29bp;
24武进经发SCP002(119D,AA+)在2.03%成交,低于中债估值0.24bp;
23国金证券CP017(125D,AAA)在1.88%成交,低于中债估值1.58bp;
23东莞证券CP003(126D,AA+)在1.90%成交,低于中债估值4.69bp;
24广西旅发CP001(233D(休1),AA+)在2.11%成交,低于中债估值1.71bp;
总体而言,今日短融成交收益率较上个交易日起伏调整不大。
22湘高速MTN008 (AAA, 63D+2Y),成交在1.96%,低于中债估值2.05bp;
21河钢集MTN005(革命老区) (AAA, 126D),成交在2%,低于中债估值0.72bp;
19高淳经开MTN004 (AA, 138D),成交在2.12%,高于中债估值1.6bp;
19陕煤化MTN006 (AAA, 143D),成交在1.99%,低于中债估值2.2bp;
22潞安MTN005 (AAA, 245D),成交在2.08%,低于中债估值2.06bp;
20汇金MTN006 (AAA, 291D),成交在1.95%,高于中债估值0.71bp;
22广东环保MTN001(绿色) (AAA, 310D+2Y(休1)),成交在2.03%,低于中债估值0.21bp; 1-3Y:
23上饶城投MTN003 (AA+, 1.06Y(休1)),成交在2.16%,低于中债估值3.23bp;
22鲁高速MTN005 (AAA, 1.08Y(休1)),成交在2.05%,低于中债估值0.43bp;
20空港城发MTN002 (AA+, 1.37Y(休1)),成交在2.15%,低于中债估值2.12bp;
23汇金MTN006A (AAA, 2.31Y),成交在2.09%,高于中债估值3.6bp;
24国宏投资MTN001(科创票据) (AA+, 2.54Y+2Y),成交在2.46%,低于中债估值3.3bp;
24宁河西MTN001 (AAA, 2.54Y+N),成交在2.36%,低于中债估值3.73bp;
24盐城高新MTN001 (AA+, 2.69Y(休2)),成交在2.43%,低于中债估值3.49bp; 3Y+:
24汇金MTN001 (AAA, 4.73Y),成交在2.25%,高于中债估值2.18bp;
24晋能煤业MTN007 (AAA, 4.79Y),成交在2.47%,高于中债估值0.78bp;
24汇金MTN003 (AAA, 4.87Y(休1)),成交在2.25%,高于中债估值2bp;
24克拉玛依MTN001 (AA+, 4.93Y),成交在2.54%,高于中债估值2.11bp;
24豫水利MTN002 (AAA, 9.98Y),成交在2.56%,低于中债估值1.02bp;
24晋能电力MTN006 (AAA, 9.99Y),成交在2.77%,高于中债估值1.31bp;
24越秀集团MTN005B (AAA, 19.98Y),成交在100%,高于中债估值9721.85bp; 总体而言,今日中期票据市场整体收益率下行,1Y内的短端成交更为活跃。
今日公司债&企业债交投情绪较活跃,市场成交主要集中在1Y内,AAA、AA+券种较多,部分成交如下:
22远东八(AAA,41D+2Y)成交在2.11%,偏离估值+4.1bp;
21环城02(AA+,64D+2Y)成交在2.95%,偏离估值-26.13bp;
19杭城01(AAA,67D)成交在1.93%,偏离估值+1.91bp;
23湘交发(AAA,75D+1Y)成交在2.60%,偏离估值-4.21bp;
17嘉兴秀洲债(AA,82D)成交在2.02%,偏离估值-0.39bp;
21东坡03(AA,164D)成交在2.53%,偏离估值+26.86bp;
20津投02(AAA,189D)成交在2.11%,偏离估值+1.2bp;
23惠临01(AA,227D)成交在2.38%,偏离估值+0.01bp;
24迈瑞D1(AA+,279D)成交在2.25%,偏离估值-3.12bp;
甬通商01(AAA,287D)成交在2.03%,偏离估值+0.42bp;
22鲁资02(AAA,291D)成交在2.07%,偏离估值-0.8bp;
PR上投01(AAA,298D+3Y+3Y)成交在2.15%,偏离估值-3.75bp;
22穗建03(AAA,323D+2Y)成交在2.09%,偏离估值+0.48bp;
22慈建05(AA+,1.17Y+2Y)成交在2.14%,偏离估值-1.29bp;
23长融02(AA+,1.4Y)成交在2.24%,偏离估值-4.54bp;
19川发04(AAA,2.12Y)成交在2.15%,偏离估值-2.16bp;
24葛洲K4(AAA,9.92Y)成交在2.52%,偏离估值+4.02bp;
今日公司债&企业债平均成交收益率较上一个工作日有所波动,年内AA+类券估值波动较大,差异明显。AAA整体而言估值小幅上行。
今日商金债市场情绪较为活跃,市场主要关注1Y-3Y的银行永续和二级债,基金、券商和理财为市场主力交投方。部分热门成交展示如下:
133D+N 1928032.IB 19建设银行永续债 1.97 AAA
154D 2128046.IB 21浦发银行02 1.82 AAA
256D+N 2028006.IB 20邮储银行永续债 2.03 AAA
1.08Y+5Y(休1) 2028025.IB 20浦发银行二级01 2.03 AAA
1.11Y+5Y 2028024.IB 20中信银行二级 2.02 AAA
1.19Y+5Y(休1) 2028033.IB 20建设银行二级 2.01 AAA
1.44Y(休2) 2228061.IB 22交通银行小微债02 1.9875 AAA
1.88Y(休1) 2320019.IB 23北京银行小微债02 2.045 AAA
1.93Y+N 2128021.IB 21工商银行永续债01 2.11 AAA
2.13Y+5Y(休1) 2128028.IB 21邮储银行二级01 2.0575 AAA
2.23Y(休1) 2320051.IB 23温州银行小微债01 2.13 AA+
2.54Y+N 2228001.IB 22邮储银行永续债01 2.135 AAA
2.7Y 2420011.IB 24浙商银行小微债01 2.09 AAA
2.81Y(休1) 212400004.IB 24光大银行小微债 2.075 AAA
2.81Y(休1) 212400004.IB 24光大银行小微债 2.0725 AAA
2.96Y(休1) 212400006.IB 24北京农商行债01 2.10 AAA
2.96Y+5Y 2228041.IB 22农业银行二级01 2.11 AAA
3.16Y+N 092280083.IB 22建行永续债01 2.175 AAA
4.23Y+N 242380021.IB 23建行永续债02 2.28 AAA
4.58Y+5Y 232480001.IB 24中行二级资本债01A 2.24 AAA
4.58Y+5Y 232480001.IB 24中行二级资本债01A 2.235 AAA
4.76Y+5Y(休1) 232480008.IB 24中行二级资本债02A 2.245 AAA
4.8Y+N 242480002.IB 24兴业银行永续债01 2.315 AAA
4.81Y+5Y 232480011.IB 24农行二级资本债02A 2.24 AAA
4.81Y+N 242400007.IB 24中信银行永续债01 2.31 AAA
4.9Y+5Y 232480022.IB 24南海农商行二级资本债01 2.50 AAA/AA+
4.92Y+N 242400009.IB 24农行永续债02 2.3025 AAA
4.93Y+N 242480004.IB 24华夏银行永续债01 2.345 AAA
4.96Y+N 242400011.IB 24广发银行永续债01 2.34 AAA
7.35Y+5Y(休1) 2128034.IB 21建设银行二级04 2.325 AAA
总体来看,今日商金债整体成交收益率较前日上行。截至收盘,二级多成交在估值+3.5bp附近;永续多成交在估值到估值+3bp到3.5bp之间。