9月25日开展3000亿元中期借贷便利(MLF)操作,期限1年,最高投标利率最低投标利率1.90%,中标利率2.30%,操作后,中期借贷便利余额为2.00%。68780亿元。Wind数据显示,上次MLF中标利率为2.30%,利率下调30个基点。此外9月有5910亿元MLF操作到期,小幅缩量续做。叠加即将降准,整体市场中期流动性充裕。
1.64Y 230011 1.465-1.4675
2.83Y 220016 1.5175- 1.53
9.17Y 230026 2.0375-2.0575
9.93Y 2400101 2.065-2.0825
19.89Y 2400005 2.16-2.1825
29.05Y 230023 2.153-2.185
29.65Y 2400001 2.15-2.1925
29.83Y 2400004 2.17-2.1875
5.73Y 200210 1.9325-1.935
6.97Y 210215 1.9825-2.035
9.81Y 240215 2.1225-2.139
早间央行宣布将降准降息,叠加公开市场继续大额净投放,银行间市场资金面恢复偏松格局,存款类机构隔夜回购加权利率下行超14bp至1.8%下方,仅可跨季及国庆长假的七天资金利率小幅上扬。海外方面,最新美国隔夜融资担保利率为4.83%。
今日市场短融交投活跃,成交主要集中在AAA和AA+的短融产品。
24中建八局SCP013(科创票据)(AAA,17D(休2))成交在2.24%,低于中债估值1.64bp;
23水发集团CP001(AAA,23D)成交在2.2%,低于中债估值2.45bp;
24镇江交通SCP004(AA+,51D)成交在2.18%,低于中债估值0.87bp;
24豫水利SCP001(AAA,53D(休1))成交在2.07%,低于中债估值5.26bp;
23水发集团CP002(AAA,58D)成交在2.15%,低于中债估值3.07bp;
23建安投资CP004(AA+,81D(休1))成交在2.12%,低于中债估值4.15bp;
24南京医药SCP002(AA+,146D)成交在2.09%,低于中债估值3.07bp;
24包钢集CP001(AAA,156D)成交在2.13%,低于中债估值0.11bp;
24青岛上合CP002(AAA,170D)成交在2.15%,低于中债估值1.48bp;
24邯郸城投SCP002(AA+,201D)成交在2.07%,低于中债估值3.89bp;
24宣城国资SCP003(AA+,207D(休1))成交在2.1%,低于中债估值1.06bp;
24巨石SCP006(AAA,233D)成交在2.05%,低于中债估值3.22bp;
24常城建SCP006(AAA,243D)成交在2.06%,低于中债估值1.18bp;
24福州古厝SCP005(AAA,264D)成交在2.06%,低于中债估值1.91bp;
24天津轨交CP001(AAA,301D)成交在2.13%,低于中债估值1.02bp;
总体来说,今日信用债短融成交收益率较前一交易日有一定程度的下调。
今天中票整体交投情绪活跃,主要成交集中在1-3Y中期票据,各期限部分成交如下:
21城投公路MTN002 (AAA, 34D),成交在2.15%,高于中债估值5.51bp;
22鄂联投MTN006 (AAA, 85D+N),成交在2.3%,高于中债估值3.89bp;
23南昌建投MTN001 (AAA, 108D+N(休2)),成交在2.11%,高于中债估值1.2bp;
22长沙水业MTN001 (AA+, 163D),成交在2.11%,高于中债估值0.53bp;
23中电投MTN005(能源保供特别债) (AAA, 176D+N),成交在2.01%,低于中债估值4.53bp;
22赣水投MTN001 (AAA, 181D),成交在2.03%,低于中债估值2.56bp;
22河钢集MTN005 (AAA, 181D),成交在2.08%,高于中债估值0.23bp;
22中电投MTN005 (AAA, 199D+N(休2)),成交在2.06%,低于中债估值0.05bp;
22沪电力MTN001 (AAA, 200D(休1)),成交在2.02%,低于中债估值1.03bp;
22晋能煤业MTN015(科创票据) (AAA, 293D),成交在2.08%,低于中债估值0.88bp;
23淮北建投MTN008 (AA+, 312D+1Y(休1)),成交在2.2%,低于中债估值0.56bp;
20新发集团MTN004 (AA+, 337D),成交在2.12%,低于中债估值3.47bp;
22泸州窖MTN004 (AAA, 345D),成交在2.05%,低于中债估值2.22bp;
22中电海康MTN001 (AAA, 345D),成交在2.01%,低于中债估值3.22bp;
22招商局MTN003 (AAA, 1.01Y+N(休1)),成交在2.08%,低于中债估值1.65bp;
22中电投MTN032 (AAA, 1.1Y+N),成交在2.08%,低于中债估值1.18bp;
22晋能电力MTN006 (AAA, 1.17Y),成交在2.15%,低于中债估值2.38bp;
21苏国信MTN002B (AAA, 1.59Y),成交在2.02%,低于中债估值0.97bp;
21合川城投MTN002 (AA+, 1.79Y(休1)),成交在2.4%,低于中债估值3.69bp;
24云能投MTN008 (AAA, 1.82Y),成交在2.36%,低于中债估值0.01bp;
23渝两江MTN003A (AAA, 1.84Y+2Y),成交在2.07%,低于中债估值0.94bp;
21衡阳城投MTN002 (AA+, 1.9Y),成交在2.18%,低于中债估值2.7bp;
23福州左海MTN004 (AAA, 2.01Y(休1)),成交在2.13%,低于中债估值1.12bp;
23晋能电力MTN017 (AAA, 2.13Y),成交在2.2%,低于中债估值2.75bp;
21常交通MTN003 (AA+, 2.18Y(休1)),成交在2.22%,低于中债估值0.1bp;
24津城建MTN001 (AAA, 2.27Y(休1)),成交在2.62%,高于中债估值1.37bp;
24惠山国投MTN001 (AA+, 2.27Y),成交在2.22%,低于中债估值0.83bp;
24相城城建MTN001 (AA+, 2.28Y),成交在2.2%,低于中债估值2.92bp;
24常德经建MTN001 (AA+, 2.31Y+2Y(休1)),成交在2.33%,高于中债估值0.23bp;
24苏国资MTN001 (AAA, 2.35Y),成交在2.12%,低于中债估值3.32bp;
24大兴发展MTN001 (AAA, 2.42Y(休1)),成交在2.14%,低于中债估值2.3bp;
24浙江机场MTN001 (AAA, 2.54Y),成交在2.1%,低于中债估值2.21bp;
24钟山资产MTN002 (AA+, 2.54Y(休1)),成交在2.25%,低于中债估值0.23bp;
24汇金MTN002 (AAA, 2.58Y),成交在2.02%,低于中债估值1.62bp;
22泸州窖MTN003 (AAA, 2.59Y),成交在2.13%,低于中债估值2.61bp;
24中电投MTN009 (AAA, 2.73Y+N(休1)),成交在2.13%,低于中债估值1.24bp;
24汇金MTN004 (AAA, 2.75Y),成交在2.03%,低于中债估值1.73bp;
24海发国资MTN003 (AAA, 2.79Y),成交在2.39%,高于中债估值1.38bp;
24电网MTN001 (AAA, 2.92Y(休2)),成交在2.02%,低于中债估值2.91bp;
24汇金MTN006 (AAA, 2.95Y(休1)),成交在2.02%,低于中债估值2.75bp;
24云能投MTN021 (AAA, 3.97Y),成交在2.95%,高于中债估值3.41bp;
23陕延油MTN003 (AAA, 4.18Y),成交在2.2%,低于中债估值2.17bp;
24汇金MTN003 (AAA, 4.65Y(休1)),成交在2.13%,高于中债估值0.05bp;
24乌城投MTN004 (AAA, 4.72Y),成交在2.32%,低于中债估值0.81bp;
24汇金MTN005 (AAA, 4.84Y),成交在2.1%,低于中债估值3.11bp;
24泸州窖MTN005 (AAA, 4.99Y),成交在2.25%,低于中债估值2.51bp;
24陕西交通MTN007 (AAA, 14.89Y),成交在2.62%,高于中债估值0.95bp;
24诚通控股MTN004B (AAA, 19.34Y),成交在2.6%,低于中债估值0.47bp;
24中化股MTN004 (AAA, 29.86Y),成交在2.65%,高于中债估值0.02bp;
今日公司债&企业债交投情绪活跃,市场成交集中在中短债,部分成交如下:
22济建Y1(AAA,200D+N(休1))成交在2.14%,偏离估值-1.56bp;
22闽高01(AA+,234D(休2))成交在2.07%,偏离估值-2.21bp;
24曹国D3(AA+,283D(休2))成交在2.45%,偏离估值+0.97bp;
20上城01(AA+,286D)成交在2.22%,偏离估值-1.76bp;
G十运03V(AA+,291D+1Y(休1))成交在2.4%,偏离估值+6.06bp;
22锡产Y4(AAA,348D+N)成交在2.12%,偏离估值-3.63bp;
22湖城03(AAA,1.1Y+2Y(休2))成交在2.1%,偏离估值-3.74bp;
20甘交G1(AAA,1.13Y)成交在2.19%,偏离估值-2.83bp;
16百福专项债(AA,1.49Y(休1))成交在2.65%,偏离估值+2.96bp;
21财金02(AAA,1.56Y)成交在2.11%,偏离估值-1.65bp;
今日公司债&企业债平均成交收益率较上一个工作日有所波动。部分年内估值上行明显,整体估值呈上行趋势。
今日商金债市场情绪活跃,市场主要关注中长期的银行永续和二级债,基金、券商为市场主力交投方。部分热门成交展示如下:
48D+5Y 1920066.IB 19上海银行二级 1.99 AAA
153D+N 2028003.IB 20平安银行永续债01 2.01 AAA
157D(休2) 2228016.IB 22华夏银行01 1.92 AAA
157D(休2) 2220013.IB 22徽商银行小微债01 1.915 AAA
170D 2228020.IB 22兴业银行02 1.87 AAA
173D 2220019.IB 22南京银行01 1.89 AAA
188D+N 2020016.IB 20江苏银行永续债 2.01 AAA
223D+5Y 2028013.IB 20农业银行二级01 1.96 AAA
269D(休2) 2228043.IB 22中国银行小微债01 1.8825 AAA
277D+5Y(休1) 2028022.IB 20民生银行二级 2.03 AAA
287D+N 2028023.IB 20招商银行永续债01 1.995 AAA
354D+5Y(休1) 2028033.IB 20建设银行二级 1.96 AAA
354D+5Y(休1) 2028033.IB 20建设银行二级 1.99 AAA
358D+5Y 2020058.IB 20华融湘江二级01 2.08 AAA/AA+
362D+N 2028037.IB 20光大银行永续债 2.00 AAA
362D+N 2028037.IB 20光大银行永续债 2.01 AAA
364D+5Y 2028041.IB 20工商银行二级01 1.96 AAA
1.16Y+N(休1) 2028051.IB 20浦发银行永续债 2.02 AAA
1.32Y+5Y 2128002.IB 21工商银行二级01 1.97 AAA
1.55Y(休1) 2328010.IB 23平安银行小微债 1.90 AAA
1.57Y+N 2128016.IB 21民生银行永续债01 2.16 AAA
1.58Y+N(休1) 2128017.IB 21中信银行永续债 2.05 AAA
1.59Y+5Y 2120041.IB 21桂林银行二级01 2.26 AAA/AA+
1.65Y+N 2128019.IB 21中国银行永续债01 2.01 AAA
1.7Y+N 2128021.IB 21工商银行永续债01 2.045 AAA
1.71Y 2320022.IB 23杭州银行01 1.94 AAA
2Y(休2/3) 212380020.IB 23光大银行债02 1.94 AAA
2.07Y+N 2120089.IB 21北京银行永续债01 2.07 AAA
2.08Y+5Y 2120092.IB 21徽商银行二级01 2.08 AAA
2.12Y 212380023.IB 23光大银行债03 1.94 AAA
2.14Y+N 2120100.IB 21郑州银行永续债 2.38 AAA/AA+
2.16Y 2320061.IB 23厦门国际银行01 2.08 AAA
2.17Y+5Y 2128042.IB 21兴业银行二级02 2.07 AAA
2.17Y+N 2128044.IB 21工商银行永续债02 2.05 AAA
2.17Y+N 2128044.IB 21工商银行永续债02 2.06 AAA
2.18Y+N(休1) 2128045.IB 21中国银行永续债02 2.05 AAA
2.22Y+N(休1) 2120110.IB 21北京银行永续债02 2.10 AAA
2.31Y+N 2228001.IB 22邮储银行永续债01 2.10 AAA
2.44Y 212380032.IB 24浦发银行债01 1.95 AAA
2.48Y 2420010.IB 24贵州银行三农债 2.17 AAA
2.48Y 212480004.IB 24华夏银行债01 1.95 AAA
2.58Y(休1) 212400004.IB 24光大银行小微债 1.95 AAA
2.64Y+1Y 312400001.IB 24工行TLAC非资本债01A 2.05 AAA
2.75Y(休2) 2420029.IB 24威海银行小微债 2.14 AAA
2.88Y+1Y 312410003.IB 24建行TLAC非资本债01A 2.03 AAA
2.9Y+5Y 092280062.IB 22通商银行二级资本债02 2.34 AA+/AA
2.93Y+5Y(休1) 092280080.IB 22光大银行二级资本债01A 2.08 AAA
2.93Y+N 092280083.IB 22建行永续债01 2.09 AAA
2.95Y+N(休1) 092280086.IB 22农行永续债02 2.10 AAA
2.98Y(休2) 2420042.IB 24齐鲁银行小微债 2.06 AAA
3Y 212480056.IB 24西安银行债01 2.07 AAA
3.01Y+5Y 092280098.IB 22杭州银行二级资本债01 2.13 AAA
3.55Y+5Y 232380017.IB 23光大二级资本债01A 2.13 AAA
3.67Y+5Y 232380021.IB 23浙商银行二级资本债01 2.17 AAA
4.1Y+5Y 232380073.IB 23农行二级资本债03A 2.14 AAA
4.14Y+5Y 232380076.IB 23建行二级资本债03A 2.10 AAA
4.23Y+5Y 232380089.IB 23中信银行二级资本债01A 2.16 AAA
4.35Y+5Y 232480001.IB 24中行二级资本债01A 2.11 AAA
4.47Y+N 242400005.IB 24农行永续债01 2.15 AAA
4.47Y+N 242400005.IB 24农行永续债01 2.19 AAA
4.5Y+5Y(休1) 1928007.IB 19工商银行二级02 2.11 AAA
4.53Y+5Y(休1) 232480008.IB 24中行二级资本债02A 2.11 AAA
4.56Y+5Y 232480010.IB 24浙商银行二级资本债01 2.21 AAA
4.56Y+5Y 232480010.IB 24浙商银行二级资本债01 2.24 AAA
4.58Y+N 242480002.IB 24兴业银行永续债01 2.18 AAA
4.58Y+5Y 232480011.IB 24农行二级资本债02A 2.11 AAA
4.58Y+N 242400007.IB 24中信银行永续债01 2.195 AAA
4.59Y+5Y(休1) 232480014.IB 24交行二级资本债01A 2.155 AAA
4.65Y+5Y 232480020.IB 24兴业银行二级资本债01 2.17 AAA
4.67Y+N 242480003.IB 24广州农商行永续债01 2.43 AAA/AA+
4.69Y+N(休1) 242400008.IB 24江苏银行永续债01 2.265 AAA
4.69Y+N 242400009.IB 24农行永续债02 2.19 AAA
4.84Y+N 242480008.IB 24中行永续债01 2.17 AAA
4.89Y+5Y 232480052.IB 24浦发银行二级资本债01A 100.00 AAA
4.92Y+N 242400020.IB 24交行永续债01BC 2.195 AAA
4.93Y+5Y 232480061.IB 24工行二级资本债01A(BC) 2.15 AAA
4.99Y+5Y(休1) 232400037.IB 24宁波银行二级资本债02 2.21 AAA
6.48Y+5Y 2128009.IB 21中国银行二级02 2.23 AAA
8.93Y+5Y 232380037.IB 23工行二级资本债02B 2.29 AAA
9.23Y+5Y 232380090.IB 23中信银行二级资本债01B 2.355 AAA
9.58Y+5Y 232480012.IB 24农行二级资本债02B 2.29 AAA
9.58Y+5Y 232480012.IB 24农行二级资本债02B 2.30 AAA
9.93Y+1Y 312410007.IB 24农行TLAC非资本债01C(BC) 2.255 AAA
总体来看,今日商金债整体成交收益率较前日下行。截至收盘,二级多成交在估值-5.5bp到估值-6bp左右,永续多成交在估值-6bp附近。